How to scale your online course sales with ads

How to scale your online course sales with ads

June 13, 202317 min read

As an online educator managing ads, profitability is crucial, and that hinges on understanding the lifetime value (LTV) of a customer. Knowing the LTV helps in gauging the return on investment (ROI) for each new enrollee in my programs, whether that's a membership, course, or additional upsells. It's not just about the initial payment they make, but also about the ongoing revenue they'll generate over time. This requires an average understanding of member duration and additional purchases.

When I factor in the sales of my other courses and offerings to the members, I get a more comprehensive LTV. This bolsters the total customer value, considering not just a $50 monthly fee from a membership, for instance, but adding the expected earnings from a percentage of members who will also purchase a $1,000 course. It's imperative to include these upsell probabilities in the LTV to avoid underestimating a customer's worth and miscalculating ad spend profitability.

Key Takeaways

  • Understanding a customer's lifetime value is foundational for ad profitability.

  • Factoring in course upsells and membership duration refines the LTV calculation.

  • Accurate LTV enables informed decisions for scaling online education ads.

Understanding Profitability for Online Ads

As an online educator with a focus on maximizing profitability through online ads, I emphasize the importance of knowing your numbers, particularly the lifetime value of a customer. This concept is fundamental in evaluating the true return on investment from any advertising spend.

Consider the scenario of running a membership program. On the surface, it might seem that if the membership fee is $50 per month, that's the revenue earned per new sign-up. But this is only the immediate picture. To gauge profitability accurately, I factor in the average duration that a student remains subscribed. If, on average, a member stays for 10 months, the lifetime value isn't just the initial $50 but a cumulative $500.

Key Point:

  • Lifetime Customer Value (LCV) for Memberships: If the average retention period is 10 months at $50/month, the LCV is $500.

But the profitability analysis doesn't end there. If I also offer a $1,000 online course with a 10% take-rate among members, that adds $100 to each member's lifetime value, bumping it to $600. Therefore, even if it costs $100 to acquire a new member through social media ads, the investment yields a sixfold return over time since that new member is actually worth $600 in the long run.

Additional Revenue Streams:

  • Upsells: For a $1,000 course where 10% of members purchase, add $100 to each member's LCV.

When selling standalone courses priced at $500, I also assess the potential for additional sales, such as upsells to personal coaching or another tier of services. Calculating the amount a student is likely to spend over their entire engagement period with my educational content is critical. This figure might be $700, $800, or more, significantly affecting the initial investment in ad spend.

Comprehensive Calculation Example:

  • Lifetime Value of a Course Buyer: Base course value is $500; with upsells and additional offers, this can increase significantly.

To determine the profitability of social media ads, it's straightforward: compare the cost of ad spend to the lifetime value of a customer. This helps in deciding whether the ads are profitable and can guide strategic scaling decisions.

In my experience, many online educators overlook the importance of understanding their metrics, focusing instead on organic social media presence without sufficiently tracking time or investment returns. My recommendation is to analyze various data sources - like email platforms and course management systems – or even estimate these figures to create an initial understanding of your profitability. This analysis will refine over time, becoming more accurate with additional data collection.

Efficiency Tips:

  • Multiple Sources: Utilize platforms like Kajabi, Podia, Thinkific, or Teachable for data analysis.

  • Time Management: Value time as a limited resource; it's crucial to track it as closely as your finances.

Knowing these numbers empowers you to navigate the stakes of online advertising with direction and confidence. Without this knowledge, you risk uncertainty and limited business growth. However, with a clear grasp of your figures, you can effectively strategize and scale your online education business.

The Importance of Lifetime Value

Knowing my numbers is pivotal, specifically the Lifetime Value (LTV) of a customer. With a membership at $50 a month, if my students stay for 10 months on average, the LTV isn't just $50, but $500. Beyond the subscription, if I sell courses and 10% of members also purchase a $1,000 course, that's an additional $100 on to their LTV, raising it to $600.

In terms of advertising costs, this perspective is crucial. Imagine spending $100 on social media ads to acquire a customer. If I only consider the initial $50, it seems like a loss. But knowing the customer's LTV is actually $600, I see a significant return. Profitability isn't immediate due to the nature of membership models, but I'm equipped to strategize effectively for long-term gains.

The calculation method is simpler for singular course sales. For a $500 course, the initial income is clear. However, calculating LTV gets complex if I'm offering upsells like one-on-one coaching. I must estimate future purchases, which boosts the LTV beyond the initial cost. By understanding and utilizing these numbers, I can determine the profitability of my social media advertising efforts promptly.

Not realizing these values can lead to undervaluing results and hinder scaling opportunities. Hence, assessing various data sources, like my email and course platforms or making an educated estimate, is vital. Although these numbers may initially be approximations, they will refine over time and are essential for driving growth. Without this knowledge, scaling remains a guesswork; with it, I can confidently soar to new heights.

Calculating Membership-Based Lifetime Value

To ensure my ads are turning a profit, it's vital I understand the lifetime value of a customer in my online education business. Let's break it down: If I have a membership platform charging $50 per month, when a new student signs up, I earn $50 initially. As an online educator, I need to consider the average duration a student remains a member. For example, if a student typically stays for 10 months, the actual earnings are not just the initial $50 but $50 multiplied by 10 months, equating to $500.

Moving beyond the membership, suppose I offer a course priced at $1,000. Not all members will purchase it, but determining the percentage that does is crucial. If 10% of my members buy this course, that's an additional $100 per member (10% of $1,000). Now, my lifetime value per member increases to $600 when I combine this with my previous calculation ($500 from the membership itself plus $100 from the course purchase).

Allocating $100 for social media ads to attract a new customer seems like a loss when comparing it to the initial $50 earned. However, considering the calculated lifetime value of $600, I realize I'm actually gaining a substantial return on my investment—the profits just haven't materialized in full yet.

When adding other offers, like one-on-one coaching or supplementary memberships, I estimate further spending per customer. It's not about how much they spend on day one but over the span they remain engaged with my offerings. Each customer could potentially contribute $700 or even $800 to my business. Knowing this number helps me gauge the profitability of my ad spend.

By recognising and calculating these numbers, I lay down the benchmarks for my ad expenditure and make informed decisions about scaling. It's better to approximate these values than to operate without any figures at all, ensuring I'm never in the dark and always poised for growth.

Incorporating Additional Course Sales

To run profitable social media ads, it's crucial to understand the lifetime value of a customer. As an online educator, my focus is on maximizing that value with every new student who enrolls in my programs. When assessing profitability, I start with my membership program. If it's priced at $50 per month, and the average student remains a member for 10 months, the initial value from that student isn't just the $50 received upfront—it's $500.

Beyond the membership, additional courses can further increase the lifetime value of each customer. For example, if I offer a $1,000 course and 10% of my members purchase it, that's an extra $100 to add to the previously calculated $500. Now, the lifetime value for a new member rises to $600. So, even if it costs $100 in ads to acquire that new member, I’m still making a strong return, as the actual profits will materialize over time with the recurring nature of the membership.

With a standalone course priced at $500, the calculation starts with that immediate revenue. Then I estimate the potential additional revenue from upsells, like the one-on-one coaching program or the supplementary membership. Determining how many course purchasers will opt for these additional offers is key to understanding my overall profits. A customer’s value is not just their first purchase—it's the total amount they will spend over time.

Investing in understanding these numbers is essential. By accounting for both immediate and future revenues, I can confidently approach social media advertising. Knowing the customer's lifetime value allows me to benchmark successes, plan for scale, and optimize ad spending—ultimately driving growth in a clear and targeted way.

Estimating Other Offers and Upsells

To ensure the profitability of my ads as an online educator, it's crucial I understand and calculate the lifetime value of my customers. For instance, if I operate a membership program at $50 per month, it's not just the initial $50 I earn. Knowing that on average, members stay for 10 months, the lifetime value is actually 10 times that—$500.

Now, I factor in additional products, like courses. If I have a course priced at $1,000 and 10% of my members purchase it, that's an additional $100 per member. The new lifetime value of a member is $600.

Here's a quick breakdown:

  • Monthly Membership: $50

  • Average Membership Duration: 10 months

  • Initial Lifetime Value (10 months x $50): $500

  • Upsell Course Price: $1,000

  • Upsell Conversion Rate (members buying the course): 10%

  • Additional Lifetime Value from Course (10% of $1,000): $100

  • Total Lifetime Value (Initial + Additional): $600

When considering other offers, such as one-on-one coaching or additional memberships, I must estimate how much more members will spend over time. I might estimate a total lifetime value of $700 or $800 per customer based on these additional offers.

To not just speculate, I delve into the numbers from various sources, like my course platform and my experience, to estimate the lifetime value more accurately. Armed with this knowledge, I make informed decisions about ad spending and clearly understand the profitability of my customer acquisition strategy, enabling me to scale my business effectively.

Assessing Profitability Through Social Media Ads

Understanding Lifetime Value of a Customer

To determine the profitability of social media ads, I prioritize knowing my numbers, with an emphasis on the lifetime value of a customer. Take a membership at $50 a month as an example. A new member initially brings in $50 upon joining. However, it's crucial to understand that if, on average, a student stays for 10 months, the actual earning from that member is 10 times that amount, totaling $500.

Supplementary Course Sales

Additionally, if I offer other courses, such as one priced at $1,000, and 10% of members purchase it, that's an extra $100 per member on average. Therefore, the total lifetime value of a new member is $600.

Estimating Future Earnings

With a standalone course costing $500, calculating earnings requires estimating the likelihood of students purchasing additional offers, such as one-on-one coaching or membership upsells. This calculation informs the total amount a customer is projected to spend over their engagement period.

Making Decisions Based on Data

When I know a customer's lifetime value, I can confidently approach social media ads, determining the amount I need to spend and the return I can expect. This direct understanding of the numbers allows me to identify whether my ad spend is profitable and if I can scale my efforts.

Avoiding Common Pitfalls

I’ve seen many online educators fail to account for their time and resources when they don't analyze their numbers. Not having a benchmark leads to uncertainty about results and limits scalability. By extracting data from the tools at my disposal, like my email and course platforms, while also leaning on experience for estimates, I can enhance my understanding of my customer's value over time.

By knowing these figures, I navigate my marketing strategy with clarity, avoiding flying in the dark. With solid numbers to guide me, I can scale my business confidently and efficiently.

The Consequence of Not Knowing Your Numbers

Understanding the lifetime value of a customer is crucial for running profitable social media ads. If I don't know my numbers, specifically the lifetime value, I am simply guessing at the potential profitability of my ads. For example, with my membership program costing $50 per month, a common mistake might be to only count the initial $50 I earn when a new member joins. However, this is a shortsighted view.

  • Initial Membership Fee: $50

  • Average Membership Duration: 10 months

  • Total from Membership Fees: $50 x 10 = $500

Members don’t just contribute to revenue through membership fees; some also purchase additional courses. If I sell a course for $1,000 and 10% of members buy it, that's an extra $100 to factor into the lifetime value.

  • Course Price: $1,000

  • Purchase Rate Among Members: 10%

  • Additional Revenue per Member: $1,000 x 10% = $100

When I combine these numbers, the revised lifetime value of a customer grows:

  • Lifetime Value without Course: $500

  • Add Course Revenue: $100

  • Revised Lifetime Value: $500 + $100 = $600

Assuming a cost of $100 to acquire a new customer through social media ads, the return on investment appears to be negative at first glance. But when considering the full lifetime value, I'm not losing money; I am investing $100 to gain a customer worth $600.

  • Ad Spend per Customer: $100

  • Lifetime Value per Customer: $600

  • Return on Investment: 6x

Without this comprehension, many decisions regarding scaling and optimization of ads can be misguided. I know this because I've been there and have seen others struggle without these insights. Time spent on social media platforms without this knowledge is truly a shot in the dark. By committing to frequent evaluation and updating of these numbers, I can effectively scale and optimize my business.

To further compound the issue, not knowing my numbers can lead to inefficiencies in time management. Time, unlike money, is not replenishable. Ensuring that I have a clear benchmark for success allows me to understand the results of my efforts, whether they are good, bad, or mediocre. Only by understanding these critical financial metrics can I make informed decisions, steer the course of my business towards success, and avoid the pitfalls of flying blind.

Essential Metrics for Online Educators

As an online educator, understanding and monitoring key metrics is critical to the profitability of my courses, memberships, and coaching programs. Through my experience, I've identified the most vital metric that I must constantly evaluate: the Lifetime Value (LTV) of a Customer.

  • Understanding Membership LTV: When I sell a membership that costs $50 per month, I don't just earn that initial $50. It's imperative to consider how long students remain members. For instance, if the average is 10 months, then the LTV is not merely $50 but $500. This number is foundational for my profitability analysis.

  • Incorporating Additional Purchases: If I also offer courses—say a course priced at $1,000—and if 10% of members purchase it, that's an additional $100 to be added to each member's LTV, raising it to $600. This calculation helps me understand the full value each customer brings over time.

  • Benchmarking for Ad Spend: By knowing that a customer's LTV is $600, I can gauge the appropriateness of my ad spend. For example, if it costs me $100 to acquire a customer through social media ads, I’ve effectively earned a six-fold return on my investment. This insight guides me in optimizing my marketing budget.

  • Repeat Customers and Additional Offers: When I sell a standalone course at $500, I need to estimate the further potential spending of these customers on additional offers like one-on-one coaching or subsequent courses. Assessing the total spending over the customer’s engagement period allows me to approximate their true LTV.

  • Time Investment: Beyond financials, I measure the time invested in social media engagement without clear financial returns. Time is finite, making it even more crucial to evaluate against my revenue-generating activities.

By diligently tracking these metrics, I ensure that I have a clear understanding of my business’s financial health, allowing me to make informed decisions and scale confidently. It's about more than just sales—it's about understanding the comprehensive value of my relationships with students and clients.

The Necessity of Understanding Customer Value

To ensure profitability from social media ads as an online educator, it's crucial to know your numbers, particularly the lifetime value (LTV) of a customer. I'll illustrate this with my own online course and membership-based business. For instance, owning a membership site charging $50 monthly, the initial profit per new student is $50. However, this is not the total profit. If on average a student remains for 10 months, the actual worth is $500 per student.

Average Membership Duration:

  • 1 month: $50

  • 10 months: $500 (Average Stay)

Beyond memberships, other products also influence LTV. For example, if I sell a $1,000 course and 10% of the members purchase it, an additional $100 is added to each member's LTV bringing it to $600.

Lifetime Value Calculation:

  • Membership (10 months): $500

  • Course Purchase by 10% members: $100

  • Total Customer LTV: $600

Investing in ads, e.g., $100 to acquire a customer, may seem like a loss at first glance. But knowing the LTV changes this perspective. Spending $100 to gain $600 in value shows a substantial return, even if the profits are staggered over time due to the membership nature. I constantly see other online educators overlook this, mistaking the initial acquisition cost for a loss without considering the LTV.

For my standalone courses costing $500, it's pivotal to consider the additional offers and potential upsells. Estimating how much more a customer will spend over their engagement with my business helps in determining the true profitability of every new customer. Repeat customers are likely to spend beyond the initial purchase, boosting overall business revenue.

Tracking and knowing these values is essential for scaling and making informed decisions on ad investments. To facilitate this, I gather data from different sources like email and course platforms, and even my own experience. An informed estimate of LTV can significantly steer business growth, whereas not knowing this number is like flying in the dark, hindering scalability.

Strategies for Scaling Your Online Education Business

To scale an online education business effectively, it is paramount to understand and leverage the lifetime value (LTV) of a customer. As I navigate the online education landscape, I ensure that my social media advertising spend is justifiable and profitable by meticulously tracking this key metric.

Calculating Lifetime Value: A core aspect of my strategy involves determining how long an average member stays in my membership program. For instance, if my membership fee is $50 a month and members typically stay for 10 months, I don't just make $50 from the initial sale; I actually earn $500 from that customer over the course of their tenure.

Incorporating Additional Offers: Beyond memberships, I analyze the purchasing behavior of members concerning other products, like courses. Supposing I have a course priced at $1,000, and data indicates that 10% of members who join will also purchase this course, there's an additional $100 to factor into each member's LTV.

  • A note on advertising spend: When the cost to acquire a new customer through social media ads is $100 but I know their LTV to be $600, I'm effectively making a six-fold return on my investment.

Tracking and Estimation: Keeping detailed records across various platforms—be it Kajabi, Podia, Thinkific, Teachable, or my email service provider—assists me in establishing these key metrics. If data isn't immediately accessible, reasoned estimations based on experience serve as a valuable interim solution.

Above all, understanding these numbers is non-negotiable. It informs my strategy for spending on ads and content creation, ensuring that every dollar and minute spent contributes to a larger, profitable scale of operations. In contrast, neglecting these figures would mean operating without a clear direction or the ability to gauge the success of my actions, stifling potential growth.

My approach is continuously refined with accumulating data, enhancing the precision of my financial forecasts. Knowing the lifetime value of my customers equips me with the crucial insight needed to scale confidently and efficiently, avoiding the pitfalls of navigating the competitive realm of online education without a clear financial compass.

No-BS Facebook Ads & YouTube Ads Consultant

Paid traffic specialist. Marketing Mentor. Agency Owner. Traveller.

Originally from tiny (but beautiful) Slovenia, I currently live with my German wife and UK-born daughter on a Portuguese paradise island in the middle of the Atlantic ocean.

Here, I parent, ride my quadbike in the mountains, paddle my kayak in the ocean, study business & most importantly, use paid traffic to add $10k-$100k/month in sales for entrepreneurs like you.

Janez

No-BS Facebook Ads & YouTube Ads Consultant Paid traffic specialist. Marketing Mentor. Agency Owner. Traveller. Originally from tiny (but beautiful) Slovenia, I currently live with my German wife and UK-born daughter on a Portuguese paradise island in the middle of the Atlantic ocean. Here, I parent, ride my quadbike in the mountains, paddle my kayak in the ocean, study business & most importantly, use paid traffic to add $10k-$100k/month in sales for entrepreneurs like you.

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